Posts Tagged Externalities
Yet another LegSim post: Fuel Efficiency Standards
Posted by The Marginalist in LegSim on June 11th, 2009
Legsim is the legislative simulator my government class is doing. As the leader of the conservative party, I write up talking points for or against (mostly against) bills coming up for votes.
[Today's bill]
Today’s bill is about improving fuel efficiency standards. Here are the key points from the bill, straight from the text:
Congress will give Detroit automakers $25 billion. In return, Detroit automakers will be required to drop their legal assault against global warming laws.
Vehicles will have a fuel economy of at least 35 miles per gallon by 2015.
After this legislation is passed, minivans and SUVs will be required to have a fuel efficiency of at least 30 miles per hour by 2015…. The money from the tax will be used by the EPA to fund research on alternative energy.
Customers that drive large pick-up trucks, SUVs, or minivans for reasons other than work or large family size, will have to pay a $2000 fee yearly. This will encourage customers to buy smaller vehicles that are more fuel efficient. Increasing consumer demand will encourage car manufacturers to produce more of these vehicles. [The Marginalist: This will also obviously increase the price of fuel efficient cars]
I can’t decide if this bill, the credit bill, or SCHIP was worse… but this bill definitely is not a good idea. In fact, it’s a really, really bad idea, even if we ignore economic arguments:
- Requiring automakers to drop their legal challenges is a violation of the right of the people to petition their government in a legal system. It’s extremely dangerous to tell the people they cannot challenge their government anymore. It makes government the master, and us the servant.
- The Department of Energy, not the EPA, researches alternative energy.
- What the heck does “Detroit automaker” mean, anyways? What if automakers just moved out of Detroit?
And that alone should be enough to vote against it. I’m not arguing that global warming is a problem, but this is the worst way to deal with it.
But if that’s not convincing enough, read on.
[Specific problems with the bill]
- SUV fuel efficiencyThis is probably the most important problem with this bill. I couldn’t find a single SUV sold in the U.S. that reached 30 mpg — including hybrids. Creating trucks and SUVs that are more efficient than 30 mpg will not only take money but time. Expecting car companies to create and only sell SUVs that are fuel efficient by 2015 is simply irresponsibly irrational.Also keep in mind that currently, car companies make their most money off of SUVs. In fact, Toyota makes almost zero, and some estimate negative, profits on the Prius. They make almost all of their money off of SUVs. The Prius is just there to make Toyota look better in the press, and to raise their average fuel efficiency (thus allowing them to sell, um, more SUVs).
Killing the SUV market will, at least in the very short run, kill the car companies — more than $25 billion can handle. Considering we’re throwing billions at them in bailouts, it makes sense for us to want them to, well, not fail.
- The $2000 yearly fee on “gas guzzlers.”This is probably the least thought-out part of the bill. The problem America faces now is a pollution problem. Pollution is caused by driving an SUV. Pollution is not caused by owning an SUV.If you want less pollution, YOU TAX POLLUTION, NOT OWNING AN SUV. DUH. THEY ARE NOT THE SAME.
Imagine a family who owns an SUV but only takes it out once a month, when they and some family friends go out camping. They have to pay $2000 a year.
Now Imagine a family who owns an SUV but drives it every single day. They have to pay $2000 a year.
Does that make any sense to you?
- The impact on car prices and the poorIt costs something to produce more fuel efficient cars. You can’t just wave your hand and “presto!” some fuel efficient cars into existence.More efficient cars either have to do things: They need more expensive technology, or they have to reduce weight. For consumers, this means they have to sacrifice in one of two (or a combination) of the two ways: higher (extremely higher) prices, or safety.
Who would lose most from this? I can think of a few: The poor, who can’t afford to pay higher prices on cars, and those with low access to health care — also the poor — who suffer most from less safe cars. Of course, everyone has to suffer, but the poor suffer most.
[What should be done]
Let’s ignore all scientific arguments about global warming — I’m an economist, not a climatologist.
The problem is basically that we have too much pollution. We have to find a way to reduce the amount of pollution in this country, preferably at the lowest cost to us.
With cars, there are two ways we can do this
- Drive less (includes carpooling and busing)
- Fuel efficiency (or better fuels)
If we used only one of these methods, it wouldn’t make any sense. Global warming would be solved if cars were mandated to have 100 mpg, but then cars would be really, really damn expensive and unsafe. It would also be solved if everyone just stopped driving, but then I wouldn’t be able to go to school.
The problem with fuel efficiency standards is it essentially mandates that people will reduce their carbon output solely through method 2, and gives no direct incentive to use method 1. This is inefficient. The most efficient (least costly) way to decrease emissions is probably some combination of driving less and driving more fuel efficient cars.
How much should we reduce driving and how much should we increase fuel efficiency? How does government know what combination of the two methods to do? Trick question: government doesn’t can’t know, because it does not have perfect knowledge of everything in the world. Individuals can do much better.
The most efficient way to reduce emissions is a simple tax on emissions — in driving, this can be done through a gasoline tax. This allows each individual to determine the best way to reduce emissions. Some people will drive less but not get a more efficient car. Some people will switch to hybrids but still drive the same amount. Some people will do some combination of the two.
The point is that a carbon tax allows each individual to choose the most efficient way to reduce emissions. You add up all the individual cost-minimizing decisions and you have an aggregate efficient outcome. Mandating increased fuel efficiency doesn’t do this.
– Bill Killer
Cap and Trade Failure
Posted by The Marginalist in Politics on May 21st, 2009
FROM the Wall Street Journal:
The latest version of the House Democratic leadership’s climate bill would give away for free up to 85% of the pollution permits created to launch a proposed system to cap greenhouse-gas emissions, according to details released Friday.
Now, I’ve come out before in support of the carbon tax, so I was, of course, disappointed by the pushing of the cap and trade bill.
(By the way, for those who don’t know what cap-and-trade is, Marketplace has a great video here.)
(Also, disclaimer: As an economist, I leave the argument over global warming to the scientists. You could say they have a comparative advantage in climate science, so I will defer to them on the question of the credibility of climate change; here I will only deal with the economics of it.)
A cap-and-trade bill, if done correctly, and if all of the emissions permits are auctioned off, basically functions like a complicated carbon tax. Cap-and-trade by it self isn’t that bad, but this version of cap-and-trade is really, really bad. Let me explain why:
1. 85% of the permits are given away for free.
The idea of a climate change policy is to make pollution expensive. So why would we basically let 85% of the pollution happen for free? Not to mention the fact that we can raise tax revenue from taxing pollution, which would allow us to either (a) reduce current taxes or (b) close the budget deficit, both of which we desperately need. But letting companies pollute for free is essentially corporate welfare.
Some environmental groups said Friday they were concerned that the level of free credits would weaken industry incentives to cut emissions and reduce benefits to consumers to cushion energy and product-cost increases.
Usually environmentalists are bad at economics, but I’m nodding my head this time.
2. The allocation of permits
According to a document posted on the committee’s Web site, 35% of the credits will be allocated to the power industry. Energy-intensive industries, such as the cement, glass and paper manufacturing sectors, will get 15% of the free permits. An additional 9% would go to the natural-gas sector, 2% to oil refiners and 1.5% to users of heating oil. Most of those emission allocations will phase out between 2026 and 2030.
This part really makes no sense to me, and I think it’s a result of the influence of special interests on our government. If I were to implement cap-and-trade, it would be much better to just auction off the permits to the whole of energy-using industries. The market would decide which industries would need the permits the most by whichever companies would be willing to pay the highest price for them.
I want to know how the panel came up with these numbers. Why should the power industry get 35%, and not 34% or 35 % (or 20% or 50%)? It seems quite arbitrary, and unless the panel is endowed with godly powers that lets them have perfect knowledge of the needs of the people, I don’t think these numbers should be trusted.
Friday Freedom Post: How Freedom Was Lost
Posted by The Marginalist in Freedom Fridays on May 15th, 2009
Yeah, yeah, a new series… Freedom Fridays. The first post is a response to a Daily Kos article that a friend of mine wanted me to talk about.
How freedom was lost
IN the article, “How Freedom Was Lost,” Devilstower wrote of the deaths caused by pollution from a zinc factory in Donora, Pennsylvania, the floods from a coal mine in Saunders, WV, and the tragedy of the triangle shirtwaist factory in New York (NYU, by the way, owns the building now).
No one implemented health, safety, and environmental legislation because they thought it would be fun….. We did it because that kind of freedom, marketplace freedom, was literally killing us.
Read the article before going on — the rest of this post will make much more sense. Today’s topic: regulation and the free market. Onwards!
What a free market is (and is not)
CONSERVATIVES and free-marketeers talk about a “free market” all the time, but it’s sometimes unclear what this term means.
John Locke is famous for coining the three essential freedoms of humanity: life, liberty, and property. The violations of these three freedoms take some form of the following crimes: murder, slavery, and theft. According to many believers in the free market, the protection of these liberties is not only the purpose of society but creates the best outcomes.
That’s what a free market is — a society in which individuals are free to mutually trade with each other, given that they do not infringe on other peoples’ rights.
But, Devilstower argues, a purely free market lacks regulation, and without regulation, people infringe on each others’ rights — just look at the pollution in Donora!
Why a free market lives on regulation
The answer to this is that the situations Devilstower describes are not genuine free markets. Clearly pollution destroys property and injures — sometimes kills — people. That’s an infringement on those peoples’ rights, and therefore not part of a free market. A world where corporations can simply earn money without bearing the costs is corporatism, not freedom.
Devilstower tries to equate free markets with a complete lack of regulation — but from a geniune free market point of view, that’s preposterous. Of course free markets need regulation — it’s impossible to have a free market without regulation. Freedom needs government to protect it.
For example, police and courts are the most important form of regulation. The police regulates our behavoir in a free society so that we don’t infringe on the rights of other people — we don’t murder, steal, or enslave.
So no, Devilstower — the free market wasn’t killing us. An unfree market was. Don’t equate free markets and individual liberties with anarchy! Freedom is not only about protection from the state, but from other people.
I have a proposal, sir
So, as part of the conservative/libertarian/classical liberal backlash against Obama, I’ve called him “socialist.” I regret that. His policies certainly tend towards that direction, but to call him “a socialist” may — at least, for now — be too much. The word “socialist,” I think, is quite extreme, and isn’t so much used to accurately describe Obama, but to elicit an emotional reaction from listeners. Wrongheaded his policies are, but socialist they are not.
So, I have a proposal. I promise to stop calling Obama a socialist… if progressives and liberals stop calling our current system a free market. Because we don’t have a free market, and you can’t blame the free market for something if it doesn’t exist.
Carbon Tax Introduced
Posted by The Marginalist in Politics on May 13th, 2009
REPUBLICAN introduces carbon tax bill. HT: Greg Mankiw
Reps. Bob Inglis of South Carolina and Jeff Flake of Arizona on Wednesday became the first Republican lawmakers to introduce legislation imposing a carbon tax on producers and distributors of fossil fuels.
The bill, co-sponsored by Democratic Rep. Dan Lipinski of Illinois, would set a tax of $15 a ton of carbon dioxide produced in its first year in effect, with the tax rising to $100 a ton over three decades.
Good for them — this also demonstrates the flexibility of a carbon tax in how it can be changed over time… I especially like this tax-neutral proposition to reduce the payroll tax as well.
Earth Day: Introduction to Externalities
Posted by The Marginalist in Uncategorized on April 22nd, 2009
Maybe the problem will take care of itself….
FROM the New York Times: Use Energy, Get Rich, and Save the Planet
The richer everyone gets, the greener the planet will be in the long run.
Just something to think about. But remember, as Keynes said, “in the long run, we’re all dead.” And waiting until 2060 or 2070 is quite a while.
But in the meantime
D.W. MacKenzie wrote this at the Mises Institute:
“The Case against “Smart Taxes” on Carbon”
Professor Mankiw advocates taxing carbon, which includes taxes on gasoline. Taxes on gasoline would reduce greenhouse gas emissions, while also reducing road congestion and auto accidents. There are several standard economic objections to such proposals for corrective taxation.
It almost pains me to have to choose between siding with the Austrians and Prof. Mankiw. As an ardent supporter of Ron Paul, the Austrians are quite close to my heart, but I very much enjoy reading Prof. Mankiw’s blog (and he was kind enough to give me advice about choosing a college!).
I’m going to have to side with Prof. Mankiw in this debate — I think the best solution to climate change is an emissions tax.
What’s the big idea, anyways?
Greenhouse gas emissions are one of those pesky problems that free markets just aren’t able to solve. Free markets are good at many things, but not all things. So what’s the problem with greenhouse gases?
Imagine you’re buying an apple at the corner fruit stand. You drop the guy a dollar (your cost) and he hands you a couple of apples (your utility). In a normal transaction like this, you bear all of the cost and reap all of the utility.
But what happens if you’re buying gas? The cost to you, at least in Seattle, is going to be about $2.15 per gallon, and the benefit you get from that gas is the distance you’ll be able to travel.
But there’s a problem here: because of climate change, you don’t bear all of the cost of that gasoline. You pay the money to buy it, but you don’t bear the full cost of your gasoline emissions. The folks in Louisiana do, even though they had nothing to do with you buying gasoline.
Your only incentive is to minimize the cost to you, so you don’t take into account the external effect on other people. As a result, you’ll probably end up using more gasoline than what might be socially optimal. This external effect, by the way, is what economists call an externality.
Externality: The externality of a good is the external cost (or benefit) borne by a third party (one who is not involved in the transaction).
The point of the gas tax is to make you bear the cost of that externality. If you’re made to pay for the damage you do through a carbon tax, you’ll take that extra cost into consideration. Making someone pay for their externality is called internalizing an externality.
Internalizing: Internalizing an externality makes someone bear the cost of the externalities they create.
And the idea is, you’ll reduce your consumption of emissions-intensive goods to the socially optimal level!
– The Marginalist